Canadian mortgage borrowers choose between a fixed rate, which stays the same for the entire term, and a variable rate, which moves with the lender’s prime rate throughout the term. The right choice depends on the interest rate environment, the borrower’s risk tolerance, the term length, and whether the potential interest savings of a variable rate outweigh the payment uncertainty.
Quick Answer
As of early 2025, a typical 5-year fixed rate in Canada is approximately 4.79%-5.09% and a 5-year variable rate is approximately 5.20%-5.50% (prime minus 0.50% to 0.75%, with Bank of Canada prime at 5.95%). Variable rates are currently above fixed rates — an unusual environment. Historically, variable rates have saved borrowers money over the long run, but this depends on the rate trajectory during the term.
How Fixed and Variable Mortgages Compare
Fixed rate:
– Payment is the same for the full term (typically 1 to 5 years)
– Interest cost is certain — no exposure to rate increases
– Prepayment penalty is typically the greater of three months’ interest or Interest Rate Differential (IRD)
– IRD penalties can be very large on fixed mortgages when rates fall significantly
Variable rate:
– Rate moves with lender prime (which tracks the Bank of Canada overnight rate)
– Most lenders offer fixed-payment variable mortgages — the payment stays the same but the portion going to principal varies
– Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) have payments that change with the rate
– Prepayment penalty is typically three months’ interest — simpler and usually smaller than IRD
Fixed vs Variable: 5-Year Comparison (Example)
| Scenario | Mortgage | Start Rate | 5-Year Interest Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stable rates | $500,000 / 25 yr amortization | Fixed: 4.89% | ~$115,400 |
| Stable rates | $500,000 / 25 yr amortization | Variable: 5.20% | ~$121,500 |
| Rate drops 1.5% in yr 2 | Variable: starts 5.20% | Falls to 3.70% | ~$101,000 |
| Rate rises 1% in yr 2 | Variable: starts 5.20% | Rises to 6.20% | ~$134,000 |
When Each Option Makes Sense
Fixed may be preferable when:
– Rates are at historical lows and likely to rise
– Budget certainty is critical (first-time buyer, tight cash flow)
– The term is short (1-2 years) and the fixed vs variable spread is small
Variable may be preferable when:
– The fixed-variable spread is large (1%+), providing a cushion against rate increases
– The borrower has the financial capacity to absorb payment increases
– The borrower is likely to break the mortgage early (variable penalty is smaller)
– Rates are expected to fall during the term
The Penalty Asymmetry
The most important but often overlooked difference between fixed and variable mortgages is the prepayment penalty. Fixed mortgages carry IRD penalties that can reach $20,000-$50,000 or more when rates have fallen. Variable mortgage penalties are three months’ interest — typically $5,000-$10,000 on a $500,000 mortgage. Borrowers who know they may sell or refinance before the end of the term should strongly consider this difference.
Verified Against Source
The Financial Consumer Agency of Canada (FCAC) provides guidance on fixed and variable mortgages at canada.ca/en/financial-consumer-agency/services/mortgages/fixed-variable-mortgages.html. OSFI Guideline B-20 governs the mortgage stress test applicable to all federally regulated lenders. Bank of Canada overnight rate announcements are published at bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy.
Edge Cases
Convertible variable: Most lenders allow conversion from variable to fixed at any time, usually without penalty, subject to the then-current fixed rate. This provides downside protection but also means you lock in when rates are typically already rising.
Trigger rate: On fixed-payment variable mortgages, if rates rise enough that the payment no longer covers the interest, the mortgage hits its trigger rate and the lender may require a payment increase or lump sum payment.
Open vs closed variable: Most variable mortgages are closed during the term. Some lenders offer open variable mortgages at higher rates that allow prepayment at any time without penalty.
Frequently asked questions
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